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Entries from September 2011

The election: Is this the best Ontario can do?

September 29th, 2011 · Comments Off

By Geoffrey Stevens This should be the most exciting Ontario election in many, many years. For starters, the fight is desperately close. The polls all tell us this – and they can’t all be wrong.  All three parties are viable. Two, the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives, have approximately equal chances of forming the next government […]

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Why the Ontario election is too close to call

September 26th, 2011 · 1 Comment

By Geoffrey Stevens The Ontario election is as close as it is because there is no defining issue – nothing any party can seize and run away with. That’s why, with 10 days to go to Oct. 6, the race seems to get tighter with each successive poll, culminating with the massive (40,750-respondent) poll by […]

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“Do you really want Tim Hudak as premier of Ontario?”

September 21st, 2011 · 1 Comment

By Geoffrey Stevens Liberal candidate Eric Davis posed the question at the very beginning of an all-candidates forum in Kitchener-Waterloo this week, and he repeated it a couple of times as the meeting went on: “Do you really want Tim Hudak as premier of Ontario?”

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Leaders fail to spark voter enthusiasm

September 20th, 2011 · Comments Off

By Geoffrey Stevens The 2007 Ontario election, the one that returned Dalton McGuinty’s Liberals for a second term, set a record – albeit a dubious record. Only 52.6 per cent of the province’s 8.4 million eligible voters turned out to the polls. That broke the old provincial record of 54.7 per cent set away back […]

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Kitchener-Conestoga may be a bellwether in Ontario election

September 14th, 2011 · Comments Off

By Geoffrey Stevens There are nasty overtones in this Ontario election and some of them surfaced in at an all-candidates meeting in St. Agatha in Kitchener-Conestoga riding on Tuesday night. Perhaps that was inevitable. Kitchener-Conestoga, a sprawling urban-rural seat, is a crucial battleground. Although solidly Conservative in federal elections, it has been desperately close in […]

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New Polls Confirm Liberal Lead, LISPOP Projection

September 14th, 2011 · Comments Off

Current polls project 52 seats to the Liberals, 37 to the Conservatives, and 18 to the NDP. Current projection (Sept. 14, 2011) is drawn from a blended and weighted sample of polls from Ipsos and Nanos conducted from Sept.7-11. The number of new respondents interviewed is only 1300, but the polls confirm trends reported in […]

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Of “wedge” issues and “outlier” polls

September 14th, 2011 · Comments Off

By Geoffrey Stevens As the Ontario election heads into its second week, the issues are emerging. Health care (quality, availability and wait times), job creation, provincial debt, taxes, hydro rates, gasoline prices, and university tuitions are all pocketbook issues that resonate province-wide. Other issues, including the environment and transit, engage voters on at least a […]

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