Opinion-Policy Nexus

Zac Spicer, Michael McGregor, and I have a new paper forthcoming from Electoral Studies. You can find the paper here or at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2017.01.002

The posted version of our paper doesn't contain the final set of changes that we plan to make in response to the last set of reviews. The publisher moved at record speed and posted our manuscript before we could make the final changes so if you were a reviewer on this paper, it's not our fault that your last set of suggestions didn't make it into the paper.  It will in the final version that appears formatted, copyedited and in print. 

Our paper has a funny finding. Not sure what explains it.  We did investigate a variety of possible explanations, including a number of ones suggeseted by reviewers at another journal but no luck. What is the funny finding? Read the abstract below to find out!

Are women and visible minorities more likely to contest and win municipal elections under different institutional and contextual circumstances? We examine this question using data collected on 934 individual candidates who sought election in twenty-two large and mid-sized cities during the 2014 municipal election cycle in Ontario, Canada. The influence of three types of political opportunity structure on the ‘decision to run’ for female and minority candidates are examined, as well as the ability of these candidates to win when they do stand for election. While we uncover no evidence such structures affect candidacy, our results do indicate district magnitude is negatively correlated with the likelihood of female and minority victory. This finding conflicts with the existing literature on the topic and has implications for debates on electoral reform and the representation of women and minorities.

Tuesday, February 14, 2017 - 13:31