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How Harper’s miscalculations hurt Conservative chances

April 29th, 2011 · andrea

By Geoffrey Stevens

If the universe continues to unfold the way it has been unfolding in recent days, the election on Monday will indeed be “historic” – a label some commentators are already pinning on it.

Pending Monday’s verdict, let’s just say the election, so exhilarating to some and devastating to others, is already notable on two scores.

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“Orange Surge” is no tsunami

April 25th, 2011 · andrea

By Geoffrey Stevens

With seven days left until the election, let’s see if we can factor in a little perspective and common sense.

Start with the New Democratic Party. Its “orange surge” of recent days – leading to fevered speculation that it would supplant the Bloc Quebecois as number one in Quebec and the Liberals as number two in Ottawa – has been the most arresting development in an otherwise listless election campaign.

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The battle for a crucial patch of Ontario

April 24th, 2011 · andrea

By Geoffrey Stevens

Not long ago, the federal Liberals “owned” this patch of Ontario. They held all five seats in Guelph, Kitchener, Waterloo and Cambridge, rolling up huge pluralities in election after election. The Liberals didn’t simply win – they dominated.

The crucial question for May 2 is whether the Liberals can reclaim their former ownership, or a healthy slice of it.

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