LISPOP Geographical Analysis
Polls - Public Policy and Electoral Preferences
May 18, 2012 Federal Seat Projection
May 18, 2012
A blend of polls conducted by Ipsos Reid, Harris-Decima and Forum Research from April 28 to May 14 on an aggregate sample of about 3500 respondents projects Conservative Party strength at around 132 seats, 118 seats for the New Democratic Party, 50 for the Liberal Party, 7 for the Bloc Québécois and 1 for the Green Party.
May 3, 2012 Federal Seat Projection
May 3, 2012
A blend of polls conducted by Ipsos Reid, Nanos Research and Léger Marketing April 2-18 on an aggregate sample of about 4000 respondents projects Conservative Party strength at around 135 seats, 115 seats for the New Democratic Party, 50 for the Liberal Party, 7 for the Bloc Québécois and 1 for the Green Party.
March 27, 2012 Federal Seat Projection
March 27, 2012
A blend of polls conducted by Environics and Ipsos Reid between March 6-18 on an aggregate sample of about 4600 respondents projects Conservative Party strength at around 133 seats, 97 seats for the New Democratic Party, 57 seats for the Liberal Party and 20 for the Bloc Quebecois.
March 26, 2012 Federal Voter Trends
March 26, 2012
The most recent federal polls from Angus Reid, Harris Decima, Ipsos Reid and Nanos have been added to our voter trends tables.
January 30, 2012 Federal Seat Projection
January 30, 2012
A blend of polls conducted by Nanos, Abacus, Angus Reid, Harris-Decima and CROP (Quebec only) between Jan. 12-23 on an aggregate sample in excess of 5000 respondents projects Conservative strength to number around 144 seats, 66 for the Liberals and 82 for the NDP.
October 7, 2011
The apparent election result of 53-37-17 in seat distribution produced a 3.3 seat average error per party. This is lower than the 1.9 average error per party over the previous five Ontario elections, but stands up well against the federal postdiction average of 4 seats per party per election.
October 5, 2011 Seat Projection
October 5, 2011
A blending of polls collecting data from Nanos Research, Leger Marketing, Angus Reid and Ipsos Reid, which includes approximately 6000 respondents surveyed between Sept. 28-Oct.3, produces a popular vote distribution of Liberals 37%, Progressive Conservatives 32.5% and New Democratic Party 26%. That projects a seat distribution of 54 for the Liberals, 32 for the PC, and 21 for the NDP.
© LISPOP 2011
The Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy is a research center at Wilfrid Laurier University which studies issues pertaining to the creation, use and representation of public opinion in the policy process. The Institute serves as a catalyst to promote individual and collaborative research on these issues. In addition, the Institute monitors the practices and claims of the public opinion and interest group industries, and serves as an educational resource to the University and the larger community on questions and issues pertaining to those claims and practices.